2026-05-18 日報

🌏 亞太脈動每日摘要 - 第 031 期 (2026-05-18)

今日關鍵焦點

1. 美中關係表面平靜下的暗流與不信任(Brief US-China calm masks simmering anger and distrust)

儘管美中雙方近期在部分議題上表現出表面上的冷靜,這篇分析指出,深層的憤怒和不信任感依然在檯面下持續發酵。這對於亞太區域的穩定性至關重要,因為美中關係的任何風吹草動都可能影響到貿易、安全乃至地緣政治平衡。未來需觀察兩國是否能在經濟層面達成更多實質性協議,以緩解緊張關係,或仍將在戰略競爭上持續對抗。

2. 臺灣總統回應川普「籌碼論」:美國軍售為重要嚇阻力(Taiwan won't be sacrificed, US arms sales a commitment, president responds to Trump)

針對美國前總統川普將臺灣比作與中國談判的「籌碼」言論,臺灣總統明確表示,美國對臺軍售是維持臺灣安全最重要的嚇阻力量,並強調臺灣不會被犧牲。此回應凸顯臺灣在面對潛在戰略模糊時,堅持強化自我防衛的立場,同時也意在向國際社會重申美國對臺承諾的重要性,這將持續影響美中台三邊關係的敏感平衡。

3. 中國承諾每年購買至少170億美元美國農產品(China to buy at least $17 billion in US agricultural products annually, White House says)

白宮宣布中國將每年購買至少170億美元的美國農產品,這被視為美中貿易關係中的一項積極進展,尤其在川習會後。這項協議可能暫時緩解兩國間的貿易緊張,為美國農業出口帶來提振,但也需觀察其執行力度與是否能擴及其他貿易領域,進而影響整體美中經濟脫鉤的進程。

4. 南韓力求避免三星大規模罷工對全球半導體衝擊(South Korea says it will pursue all options to avoid Samsung strike)

南韓政府正積極尋求所有選項,以避免三星可能發生的罷工。作為全球領先的半導體製造商,三星若面臨大規模罷工,不僅將對南韓經濟造成巨大衝擊,更可能擾亂全球高度依賴的半導體供應鏈,對全球電子產業的穩定性帶來嚴重影響。此事件凸顯半導體產業在全球經濟中的關鍵地位及其脆弱性。

5. 日本住友金屬與雙日株式會社尋求東南亞稀土資源(Japan's Sumitomo Metal, Sojitz look to Southeast Asia for rare earths)

日本企業住友金屬與雙日株式會社正將目光投向東南亞,尋求稀土資源的供應。此舉反映日本在全球關鍵礦物供應鏈去風險化的戰略,旨在減少對特定國家(主要是中國)的依賴,強化自身經濟韌性及戰略物資安全。這將促進東南亞國家在稀土開採與加工領域的發展,並重塑全球稀土供應格局。

6. 中國AI公司在影音生成工具領域取得商業化進展(Chinese AI firms commercialize video-generation tools)

多篇報導指出,中國人工智慧公司在影音生成工具的商業化方面取得了顯著進展,甚至有觀點認為已超越美國競爭者。這代表中國在AI技術應用層面展現出強勁的創新能力,可能對全球數位內容產業格局產生影響,並加劇美中在關鍵科技領域的競爭。

7. CSIS報告:中國已成為美國網路空間的同儕競爭者(Why China Is Now a Peer Competitor to the United States in Cyberspace)

戰略與國際研究中心(CSIS)的報告指出,中國在網路空間已成為美國的同儕競爭者。這項評估強調中國在網路戰、網路間諜活動及資訊安全領域的快速發展,對美國及其盟友構成日益嚴峻的挑戰。這將促使各國重新評估其網路安全戰略,並可能加劇全球範圍內的網路軍備競賽。

精細分類

#### 亞太政經局勢

Flashpoints (地緣衝突與熱點:台海、南海、朝鮮半島、中印邊境)

US-China-Taiwan (美中台三邊關係)

#### 國別動態

China Watch (中國內政、經濟、科技、社會)

Japan & Korea (日韓政治、經濟、安保)

Southeast Asia (東南亞各國動態)

India & South Asia (印度、巴基斯坦、南亞次大陸)

Oceania & Pacific (澳洲、紐西蘭、太平洋島國)

#### 產業與科技

AI & Tech Policy (AI 政策、科技治理、數位主權)


English Daily Highlights

Today's Asia-Pacific pulse is dominated by a complex interplay of US-China dynamics, Taiwan's assertive stance, and regional economic shifts. Despite apparent calm, underlying tensions and distrust continue to characterize US-China relations, as highlighted by Nikkei Asia, suggesting a volatile strategic landscape ahead.

Taiwan has firmly pushed back against former President Trump's "negotiating chip" comments, with President Tsai Ing-wen asserting that US arms sales are Taiwan's most crucial deterrent and that Taiwan will not be sacrificed. This robust response underscores Taiwan's determination to safeguard its sovereignty and emphasizes the critical importance of sustained US security commitments in the face of evolving cross-strait rhetoric. Concurrently, the White House's announcement of China's commitment to buy at least $17 billion in US agricultural products annually points to a tactical de-escalation in trade, potentially offering a temporary reprieve for US farmers, but the broader trajectory of US-China economic relations remains a key area of observation.

Economically, South Korea faces a critical juncture as its government works to avert a potential Samsung strike. Such an event would not only deal a severe blow to the South Korean economy but also threaten to disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain, impacting the worldwide electronics industry. This highlights the fragility of global tech supply chains and the outsized role of key players like Samsung. Meanwhile, Japan's Sumitomo Metal and Sojitz are actively exploring rare earth resources in Southeast Asia, reflecting a strategic move to diversify critical mineral supply chains and reduce reliance on single-source suppliers, predominantly China. This trend will likely foster new resource development in Southeast Asian nations and reconfigure global rare earth dynamics.

In the realm of technology, Chinese AI firms are rapidly commercializing video-generation tools, with some reports suggesting they are outpacing US rivals. This demonstrates China's robust innovation capabilities in applied AI, intensifying the global tech race and potentially reshaping the digital content industry. A CSIS report further underscores this tech competition, identifying China as a "peer competitor" to the United States in cyberspace, which necessitates a re-evaluation of cybersecurity strategies across the US and its allies.

Other regional news includes the ongoing debate in Taiwan regarding its relationship with mainland China, the Philippines' enduring challenge of dynastic politics, and various local economic and social developments in Japan, South Korea, and Southeast Asian countries. These events collectively paint a picture of an Asia-Pacific region navigating complex geopolitical rivalries, economic interdependence, and rapid technological advancements.